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Liberal, Tory leaders equally prone to act on housing affordability, survey says
Printed Mar 29, 2025 • Final up to date 3 hours in the past • 4 minute learn
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Canada’s Conservative Social gathering Chief Pierre Poilievre speaks to the group on the “Canada First” rally on the Rogers Heart on February 15, 2025 in Ottawa, Canada. Photograph by Andrej Ivanov /Getty Photos
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OTTAWA — It wasn’t so way back that Conservative Chief Pierre Poilievre had shot to the highest of the polls by promising to make life extra inexpensive for on a regular basis Canadians. However two latest surveys counsel he’s dropping his edge on all-important pocketbook points, simply because the marketing campaign kicks in to full gear.
A Leger/Nationwide Put up ballot launched shortly earlier than Sunday’s election name confirmed Poilievre trailing Liberal Chief Mark Carney by 5 factors on the query of who’d do a greater job of constructing life extra inexpensive for on a regular basis Canadians.
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Andrew Enns, Leger’s govt vice-president for Central Canada, instructed the Nationwide Put up that Carney’s resolution to chop the buyer carbon tax to zero per cent has helped him to shut the hole.
“The Liberals are in all probability getting a lift from Carney cancelling the carbon tax as his first order of enterprise,” mentioned Enns.
“I collect Canadians are going to see a reasonably vital drop within the worth of gasoline on the pump come Tuesday (Apr. 1) and Mr. Carney will get some credit score for that occuring underneath his watch.”
The Leger ballot confirmed Poilievre main Carney on simply two of eight key points, with voters saying he’d do the perfect job of strengthening Canada’s armed forces and managing the federal finances.
(The agency’s month-to-month opinion ballot was carried out, on this event, between March 14 and 16 utilizing a pattern of 1,599 adults recruited from a Leger-founded panel. On-line polls will not be correct consultant samples and thus don’t carry a margin of error. Nonetheless, the ballot doc gives an estimated margin, for comparability functions, of plus-or-minus 2.45 proportion factors, 19 occasions out of 20.)
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Leger present in a separate week one federal election reportlaunched Monday, that inflation is the highest concern of the marketing campaign for one in 5 Canadians, placing it second behind U.S. aggression and tariffs, which 32 per cent mentioned was the election’s greatest concern.
The Leger/Nationwide Put up ballot suggests Carney holds a commanding 13-point lead on the query of who’d higher job handle tariffs and different threats posed by U.S. President Donald Trump.
Enns opined that Carney has finished an efficient job of tying collectively the marketing campaign’s high two points.
“I believe (Carney’s) gaining some traction on the truth that (his) stance on preventing off the commerce aggression and tariffs is being linked to attempting to guard the buyer from a number of the implications when it comes to worth will increase,” mentioned Enns.
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A unique ballot, launched by Abacus Knowledge on Friday, suggests Carney has additionally pulled even with Poilievre on his signature concern of housing affordability.
An an identical 41 per cent of respondents mentioned they believed Carney and Poilievre, respectively, would both “undoubtedly” or “in all probability” take motion to make housing extra inexpensive if elected.
The survey was carried out with 1,500 eligible voters from March 17 to twenty by recruiting on-line respondents from partner-affiliated panels. Abacus commissioned and paid for the ballot, which just like the Leger survey doesn’t carry a real margin of error. Nonetheless, the comparability margin is calculated at plus or minus 2.5 proportion factors 95 per cent of the time, in response to Abacus’s web site.
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Carney has mentioned he’ll remove the GST from the sale of all houses purchased for $1 million or much less by first-time homebuyers. Poilievre has countered with a promise to waive the GST from all new builds purchased for lower than $1.3 million.
Poilievre’s oft-repeated promise to “construct the houses” for a era of younger Canadians, locked out of the housing market by insufficient provide and exorbitant costs, has anchored his pitch to Millennial and Gen Z voters.
Enns mentioned whereas Carney has closed the hole on housing, Poilievre nonetheless has a foothold with youthful voters.
“Poilievre continues to be monitoring fairly properly with the under-40 crowd… There are nonetheless indicators that these aspiring new owners are seeing extra engaging issues from the Conservative platform,” mentioned Enns.
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A newer Leger survey, commissioned by the Canadian Press, has Poilievre 4 factors forward of Carney amongst 35-to-54-year-olds and two factors forward for 18-to-34-year-olds.
Carney, in the meantime, has a commanding 18-point lead amongst Canadians aged 55 and over.
The shortage of pick-up on Poilievre’s affordability bulletins, together with a 2.25 per cent lower employees’ tax lower and tax write-off for travelling trades employeeshas reportedly created a rift in Conservative circles.
Kory Teneycke, the supervisor of the Ontario Progressive Conservatives’ victorious marketing campaign for re-election final month, publicly known as on Poilievre to pivot to the “poll query” of Trump and tariffs in a number of public apperances this week, warning that he’ll lose if he doesn’t.
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Michelle Rempel Garner, who labored with Teneycke within the Harper authorities, instructed the Nationwide Put up the requires Poilievre to alter course doesn’t line up with what she’s listening to on the doorways in her northern Calgary driving.
“The folks I speak to in my driving admire that I’m in a position to inform them, in a exact and quantifiable method, how a lot our insurance policies will make life extra inexpensive for them,” mentioned Rempel Garner.
Rempel Garner says she expects the Liberal lead within the polls to evaporate when voters have an opportunity to take a seat down and examine the Liberal and Conservative platforms.
“We’re within the early days within the marketing campaign, and you’ll see us relentlessly, daily, say right here’s what we’re doing, right here’s the plan, and that’s coming collectively in an general package deal,” mentioned Rempel Garner.
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Poilievre mentioned to not anticipate a pivot in his messaging at a Saturday marketing campaign cease in Winnipeg.
“We are going to clearly retaliate towards unfair American tariffs and work to remove them, however we actually must do is reverse the weak point brought on by the misplaced Liberal decade.”
Nationwide Put up
rmohamed@postmedia.com
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