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Trump’s “Huge, Stunning Invoice” Is a Large Win For the Army Industrial Complicated


July 3, 2025

Whereas weapons contractors will gorge on an enormous new infusion of money, army personnel, previous and current, are clearly going to be uncared for.

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A Boeing B52H bomber is pictured flying in August 2020.

(Rob Reedman, CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)

This text initially appeared at TomDispatch.com. To remain on high of vital articles like these, signal as much as obtain the most recent updates from TomDispatch.com.

The Senate is on the verge of passing the distinctly misnamed “huge lovely invoice.” It’s, the truth is, one of many ugliest items of laws to return out of Congress in residing reminiscence. The model that handed the Home not too long ago would lower $1.7 trillion, principally in home spending, whereas offering the highest 5% of taxpayers with roughly $1.5 trillion in tax breaks.

Over the following few years, the identical invoice will add one other $150 billion to a Pentagon finances already hovering towards a document $1 trillion. In brief, as of now, within the battle between welfare and warfare, the militarists are carrying the day.

Pentagon Pork and the Folks It Harms

The invoice, handed by the Home of Representatives and at current into consideration within the Senate, would allocate tens of billions of {dollars} to pursue President Trump’s cherished however hopeless Golden Dome undertaking, which Laura Grego of the Union of Involved Scientists has described as “a fantasy.” She defined precisely why the Golden Dome, which might supposedly shield the US in opposition to nuclear assault, is a pipe dream:

“During the last 60 years, the US has spent greater than $350 billion on efforts to develop a protection in opposition to nuclear-armed ICBMs (intercontinental ballistic missiles). This effort has been affected by false begins and failures, and none have but been demonstrated to be efficient in opposition to a real-world menace… Missile defenses usually are not a helpful or long-term technique for conserving the U.S. protected from nuclear weapons.”

The invoice additionally consists of billions extra for shipbuilding, heavy new investments in artillery and ammunition, and funding for next-generation fight plane just like the F-47. 

Oh, and in any case of these weapons applications get their staggering lower of that future Pentagon finances, someplace approach down on the backside of that record is a line merchandise for bettering the standard of life for active-duty army personnel. However the share aimed on the well-being of troopers, sailors, and airmen (and girls) is lower than 6% of the $150 billion that Congress is now poised so as to add to that division’s already humongous finances. And that’s true regardless of the way in which Pentagon finances hawks invariably declare that the large sums they routinely plan on shoveling into it — and the overflowing coffers of the contractors it funds — are “for the troops.”

A lot of the funding within the invoice will stream into the districts of key members of Congress (to their appreciable political profit). For instance, the Golden Dome undertaking will ship billions of {dollars} to firms based mostly in Huntsville, Alabama, which calls itself “Rocket Metropolis” due to the dense community of outfits there engaged on each offensive missiles and missile protection techniques. And that, after all, is music to the ears of Consultant Mike Rogers (R-AL), the present chair of the Home Armed Providers Committee, who simply occurs to return from Alabama.

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The shipbuilding funds will assist prop up arms makers like HII Company (previously Huntington Ingalls), which runs a shipyard in Pascagoula, Mississippi, the house state of Senate Armed Providers Committee chair Roger Wicker (R-Miss).  The funds may even discover their approach to shipyards in MaineConnecticut, and Virginia.

These funds will profit the co-chairs of the Home Shipbuilding Caucus, Consultant Joe Courtney (D-CT) and Consultant Rob Wittman (R-VA). Connecticut hosts Basic Dynamics’ Electrical Boat plant, which makes submarines that carry ballistic missiles, whereas Virginia is dwelling to HII Company’s Newport Information Shipbuilding facility, which makes each plane carriers and assault submarines.

The Golden Dome missile protection undertaking, on which President Trump has promised to spend $175 billion over the following three years, will profit contractors huge and small. These embrace firms like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and Raytheon (now RTX) that construct present technology missile protection techniques, in addition to rising army tech companies like Elon Musk’s Area X and Palmer Luckey’s Anduril, each of that are rumored to have a shot at enjoying a number one function within the growth of the brand new anti-missile system.

And simply in case you thought this nation was solely planning to put money into protection in opposition to a nuclear strike, a sharp upsurge in spending on new nuclear warheads beneath the auspices of the Division of Power’s Nationwide Nuclear Safety Company (NNSA) has been proposed for fiscal yr 2026. Thirty billion {dollars}, to be precise, which might characterize a 58% hike from the prior yr’s finances. In the meantime, inside that company, nonproliferation, cleanup, and renewable vitality applications are set to face vital cuts, leaving 80% of NNSA’s proposed funding to be spent on — sure! — nuclear weapons alone. These funds will stream to firms like Honeywell, Bechtel, Jacobs Engineering, and Fluor that assist run nuclear labs and nuclear manufacturing websites, in addition to academic establishments just like the College of Tennessee, Texas A&M, and the College of California at Berkeley, which assist handle nuclear weapons labs or nuclear manufacturing websites.

Weakening the Social Security Web — and America

And whereas weapons contractors will gorge on an enormous new infusion of money, army personnel, previous and current, are clearly going to be uncared for. As a begin, the Veterans Administration is on the block for deep cuts, together with attainable layoffs of as much as 80,000 workers — a transfer that may undoubtedly decelerate the processing of advantages for individuals who have served in America’s previous wars. Analysis on illnesses that disproportionately affect veterans may even be lower, which needs to be thought-about an outrage.

In the meantime, tons of of 1000’s of veterans from this nation’s disastrous wars in Afghanistan and Iraq will proceed to endure from bodily and psychological wounds, together with traumatic mind accidents (TBI) and post-traumatic stress dysfunction (PTSD). Chopping analysis which may discover more practical options to such issues needs to be thought-about a nationwide shame. Within the meantime, active-duty personnel who’re getting a tiny fraction of the potential Pentagon add-on of $150 billion are equally in want.

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Worse but, flip away from the Pentagon for a second, and the cuts in the remainder of that “huge lovely invoice” will seemingly have an effect on a majority of Individuals — Democrats, independents, and MAGA Republicans alike.  Their full results might not be felt for months till the spending reductions contained in it begin hitting dwelling. Nonetheless, enacting insurance policies that take meals off folks’s tables and deny them medical care is not going to solely trigger pointless struggling however value lives. 

As President (and former normal) Dwight D. Eisenhower, a really totally different sort of Republican, stated greater than 70 years in the past, the final word safety of a nation lies not in what number of weapons it may pile up, however within the well being, training, and resilience of its folks. The large lovely invoice and the divisive politics surrounding it threaten these foundations of our nationwide power.

Conflict of the Contractors?

As finances cuts threaten to make the inhabitants weaker, distorted spending priorities are making arms producers stronger. The Huge 5 — Lockheed Martin, RTX, Boeing, Basic Dynamics, and Northrop Grumman — produce many of the present big-ticket weapon techniques, from submarines and intercontinental ballistic missiles to tanks, fight plane, and missile-defense techniques. In the meantime, rising tech companies like Palantir, Anduril, and Area X are cashing in on contracts for unpiloted automobiles, superior communications techniques, new-age goggles for the Military, anti-drone techniques, and a lot extra.

However whilst weapons spending hits near-record or document ranges, there should be a struggle between the Huge 5 and the rising tech companies over who will get the largest share of that finances. One entrance within the coming battle between the Huge 5 and the Silicon Valley militarists might be the Military Transformation Initiative (ATI).  In line with Secretary of the Military Dan Driscoll, one of many targets of ATI is to “get rid of out of date techniques.”

Driscoll is a harsh critic of the way in which members of Congress put cash within the finances — a course of generally known as “pork barrel politics” — for gadgets the army providers haven’t even requested for (they usually ask for lots), just because these techniques would possibly convey extra jobs and income to their states or districts. He has, the truth is, dedicated himself to an strategy that’s incompatible with the present, parochial strategy of placing collectively the Pentagon finances. “Lobbyists and bureaucrats have overtaken the military’s means to prioritize troopers and struggle combating,” he insisted.

Driscoll is speaking a tricky recreation in relation to taking up the prevailing huge contractors.  He’s evidently able to push for “reform,” even when it signifies that a few of them exit of enterprise. In actual fact, he appears to welcome it: “I’ll measure it as success if, within the subsequent two years, one of many primes is not in enterprise.” (“Primes” are the massive contractors like Lockheed Martin and Basic Dynamics that take the lead on main applications and get the majority of the funding, a good portion of which they dole out to subcontractors all around the nation and the world.)

Ending pork-barrel politics in favor of an strategy during which the Pentagon solely buys techniques that align with the nation’s precise protection technique, as Driscoll is suggesting, would possibly seem to be a major step ahead. However watch out what you want for. Any funds freed up by stopping congressional representatives from treating the Pentagon finances as a piggy financial institution to purchase loyalty from their constituents will nearly actually go to rising tech companies able to construct next-generation techniques like swarms of drones, weapons that may take out a hypersonic missile, or pilotless land automobiles, plane, and ships. Driscoll is a main tech fanatic, as is his good friend and Yale legislation faculty classmate J.D. Vance, who was first employed by Palantir co-founder Peter Thiel, who then backed his profitable run for the Senate from Ohio.

Because the tech companies don’t have the equal of the Huge 5’s in depth manufacturing networks in key congressional districts, they should discover different methods to influence Congress to fund their weapons applications. Luckily, the Silicon Valley militarists have a vital quantity of former workers or monetary backers within the Trump administration who can plead their case.

As well as, military-tech-focused enterprise capital companies have employed not less than 50 former Pentagon and army officers, all of whom will help them exert affect over each the Trump administration and Congress. The most important “catch” was Palantir’s hiring of former Wisconsin Congressman Mike Gallagher, who had run the hawkish Congressional particular committee on Communist China.

Some journalists and coverage analysts have puzzled whether or not the feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk will damage the army tech sector. Nicely, cease fretting. Even when Trump have been to comply with via on his menace to lower the federal government funding of Musk’s companies, the duties they’re finishing up — from launching army satellites to growing safer Web entry for deployed army personnel — would nonetheless proceed, slightly below the auspices of various firms. There can be some friction concerned, just because it’s onerous to shift suppliers on a dime with out slowing down manufacturing.  And the transition, ought to it happen, would additionally add value to already exceedingly costly applications.

However Trump’s menace to cancel Area X’s contracts could be extra grist for his verbal fight with Musk somewhat than something his administration plans to comply with via on. Even when Musk and his president by no means reconcile, the DOGE cuts to worldwide diplomacy and home social providers that Musk spearheaded will nonetheless do severe injury for years to return.

Cash Can’t Purchase Safety

A shift towards rising army tech companies and away from the Huge 5 might be about greater than cash and expertise.  Key figures among the many rising cohort of Silicon Valley militarists like Alex Karp, the CEO of Palantir, see constructing weapons as greater than only a crucial pillar of nationwide protection. They see it as a measure of nationwide character.

Karp’s new ebook, The Technological Republic: Laborious Energy, Comfortable Perception, and the Way forward for the West, mixes the Chilly Conflict ideology of the Fifties with the rising expertise of the twenty-first century. He decries the shortage of unifying ideas like “the West” and sees too many Individuals as slackers with no sense of nationwide pleasure or patriotism. His answer, a supposedly unifying nationwide mission, is — await it! — a contemporary Manhattan undertaking for the event of the army purposes of synthetic intelligence.  To say that that is an impoverished model of what this nation’s mission needs to be is placing it mildly. Many different prospects come to thoughts, from addressing local weather change to stopping pandemics to upgrading our academic system to constructing a society the place everybody’s primary wants are met, leaving room for inventive pursuits of all types.

The techno-optimists are additionally obsessive about getting ready for a struggle with China, which Palmer Luckey, the 32-year-old founding father of the army tech agency Anduril, believes will occur by 2027. And lots of in his circle, together with Marc Andreessen of the enterprise capital agency Andreessen Horowitz, are satisfied that any potential dangers from the event of AI pale compared to the necessity to “beat China,” not simply in getting to stylish army purposes first, however in profitable a future struggle with Beijing, if it involves that. Speak of diplomacy to move off a struggle over Taiwan or cooperation on international points like local weather change, outbreaks of illness, and constructing a extra inclusive, much less unequal international financial system not often come up in discussions among the many hardcore militarist faction in Silicon Valley.  As an alternative, that group is spending inordinate quantities of money and time looking for to affect the way forward for U.S. overseas and army coverage, a harmful growth certainly.

Whether or not the rising tech companies can construct cheaper weapons with superior capabilities might be irrelevant if such developments are tied to an aggressive technique that makes a devastating battle with China extra seemingly. Whereas the struggle between the Huge 5 and the tech leaders could show fascinating to watch, additionally it is ominous by way of this nation’s future financial and overseas insurance policies, to not converse of the form and dimension of our nationwide finances.

The remainder of us, who aren’t billionaires and don’t draw $20 million in annual compensation packages just like the CEOs of the massive weapons companies (immediately or not directly funded by our tax {dollars}), ought to play a number one function in rethinking and revising this nation’s international function and our insurance policies at dwelling. If we don’t rise to that problem, this nation might find yourself swapping one type of militarism, led by the Huge 5, for one more, spearheaded by hawkish, self-important tech leaders who care extra about getting cash and spawning devastating new applied sciences than they do about democracy or the standard of lifetime of the typical American.

William D. Hartung

William D. Hartung is a senior analysis fellow on the Quincy Institute for Accountable Statecraft.

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