Mar 30, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; San Francisco Giants beginning pitcher Robbie Ray (38) pitches towards the Cincinnati Reds within the first inning at Nice American Ball Park. Necessary Credit score: Katie Stratman-Imagn Photographs
A bumpy night for each beginning pitchers wreaked havoc on final evening’s guess — a few of which wasn’t their fault. We’ll attempt once more within the subsequent recreation, this one in San Francisco.
The Giants hosted the Seattle Mariners for his or her residence opener yesterday in what turned out to be a wild affair. The rating was knotted 8-8 even earlier than the seventh inning and in the end spilled into extras, the place the Bay Space residents would thwart a one-run deficit within the backside of the eleventh. They received it on a walk-off two-run knock from huge free-agent acquisition Willy Adames.
Whereas yesterday’s ballgame featured a whopping 19 runs, don’t anticipate something near that within the encore. There’s a pitching matchup readily available with the potential to showcase a duel.
Robbie Ray will get the ball for his second begin of his second marketing campaign with the Giants. Final 12 months was Ray’s return from Tommy John surgical proceduredoing so with San Francisco after his former membership — tonight’s opponent — traded him in January 2024. The veteran southpaw went on to make seven begins, and whereas he produced an underwhelming 4.70 ERA, the opposite stats have been constructive sufficient to consider he might reclaim his outdated type.
In these seven video games, Ray notched 12.6 strikeouts per 9 innings (albeit with 4.4 walks per 9) and restricted opposing batters to a .189 common. He additionally had a 3.72 anticipated ERA.
Spring coaching was very encouraging for the 2021 American League Cy Younger Award winner as properly, logging a 1.86 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, .157 batting common towards and 10.7 Ok/9 in 19 1/3 innings.
Ray’s season debut got here final Sunday in Cincinnati and turned out pretty properly, even incomes a victory. The one drawback was that of his three hits allowed, two went for homers. Nevertheless, that may at all times be a product of beginning a recreation at hitter-friendly Nice American Ball Park.
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The positioning of tonight’s outing, Oracle Park, is among the greatest pitcher’s parks within the league, and Ray will get an task reverse his ex-mates, who have been the worst lineup in baseball towards left-handers a 12 months in the past.
As highlighted beforehand on this column, the Mariners completed lifeless final in workforce batting common with a lefty on the mound, registering an atrocious .213 mark in that division. Moreover, they punched out as soon as each 3.5 at-bats.
To this point this season, Seattle is hitting .220 off southpaws and has gone down by way of strikeout 29 occasions already in simply 91 at-bats. Even except for the revenge-game issue, Ray might probably feast right here.
We’ll additionally hope for respectable work from the counterpart, Bryce Miller, additionally making his second begin. The 26-year-old — a darkish horse Cy Younger choose by some — put the baseball world on discover final season when he went 12-8 with a 2.94 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Moreover, he stored opposing hitters proper on the Mendoza Line (.200) in batting common towards.
Miller exhibited combined leads to his first flip of the 12 months towards the Athletics. Whereas he did permit a bit too many baserunners (eight), the Texas A&M alum additionally was just one out away from a high quality begin.
If he can stick round a bit longer this time, Miller is in a wonderful spot to build up a high quality flip. The Giants are sometimes one of many lighter-hitting groups in entrance of the hometown devoted — because of their spacious ballpark — and cranked out the second fewest homers at residence a season in the past.
One closing ingredient that would assist keep a low rating is the umpire behind the plate tonight. James Hoye shall be calling balls and strikes, and is pretty much as good to pitchers as anyone. I’m including the additional half run with the thought that 8 is absolutely the ceiling.
Decide: Beneath 8 (-143, DraftKings)
2025 MLB Betting Report: 5-4-1, +0.53 unit
Over/Unders: 4-3
Props: 1-0
MLs: 0-1
Yesterday’s Outcome: Guardians-Angels Beneath 8 (loss)
Every guess graded as if it have been to win one unit until in any other case said.
Observe me on X (previously Twitter) @MattZylbert for potential further picks.
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