On the newest episode of Weekend Winners, the panel take intention at Doncaster the place the Flat turf season will get really beneath approach with the Lincoln Handicap on Saturday.
Host Kate Tracey is joined by At The Races’ Declan Rix and Sky Sports activities Racing’s senior type analyst Jamie Lynch to preview the weekend’s motion, with betting angles and insights suggested.
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Circumstances on City Moor are at present good to tender, with 22 runners set to battle it out for the celebrated William Hill Lincoln Handicap – the normal curtain-raiser for the turf Flat season.
Final 12 months’s winner Mr Professor is again to defend his title, whereas Wathnan Racing are properly represented by way of Midnight Gun and Native Warrior. Thunder Run heads the marketplace for Clifford Lee and Karl Burke, with Rossa Ryan getting the experience on Orandi, who carries a 5lb penalty.
Kate Tracey
“The tendencies landed me again on Thunder Run. There’s the four-year-old angle in addition to his official score of 100 – 4 of the final eight winners have had that score, with the rest there or thereabouts. He is making his reappearance after ending fourth within the Balmoral when he was closely supported, overwhelmed simply three lengths.
“His finest efforts have come on a greater floor, I do know he is confirmed himself to be versatile however he does appear to want that faster floor – hopefully that does not rely in opposition to him. The actual fact he was unraced as a two-year-old would recommend he is obtained lots extra to return.”
Jamie Lynch
“There is a horse hidden in plain sight with the identical profile as Thunder Run, however with a pattern in opposition to him. Whip Cracker is just not getting mentioned as a result of the overarching pattern with the Lincoln is it is both first trip or again from Dubai – these are the one methods you win a Lincoln within the final 25 years.
The Wolverhampton (trial) race has nearly develop into redundant however, if you happen to take a look at it, Whip Cracker did so properly to complete fourth in a messy race and all of the positives that noticed him despatched off 9/4 favorite are nonetheless in play. The winner that day was Image Of Mild beneath a superb experience from Jason Watson, whereas Whip Cracker obtained caught too far again however nonetheless had the second-highest ending proportion pace within the race.
“Since that day, the yard has gone from working at 10 per cent to 22 per cent, together with a double at Chelmsford on Thursday. That is precisely the horse you search for in a Lincoln, sitting on some robust type traces together with Bolster and Jayarebe. The Wolverhampton run has been held in opposition to him however I believe he’d be a single-figure worth if he was coming right here straightaway. I am considering and hoping he is a bit overpriced given the qualities that he brings to the desk.
Declan Rix
“You in all probability desire a 4 or five-year-old with a progressive profile so I am going with Thunder Run. A four-year-old this season, he is solely had six profession begins and I am hoping there’s just a little bit extra to return this 12 months. I simply cannot get his run in final season’s Balmoral out of my head – he did approach an excessive amount of on tender floor on the entrance finish and the winner’s ending pace proportion was 93 per cent.
“He clearly did approach an excessive amount of too quickly with no cowl up the stiff monitor when he was a three-year-old taking over his elders. If they will ration his pace just a little higher this time he may go properly, and Karl Burke is pound for pound among the finest trainers in Europe and possibly the world.”
Watch Weekend Winners in full on the At The Races YouTube channel…
