12:07
Dan Szymborski: Sorry, took me a while to get in!
12:08
Tacoby Bellsbury: What’s your favourite portdanteau?
12:08
Dan Szymborski: Dang, I do know I’ve some however I can’t consider them!
12:09
Dan Szymborski: I did as soon as describe the sensation of getting mad at Corridor of Fame voters for not voting for deserving gamers as Blylevengeance.
12:09
Dk: What do you see the Mets doing on the deadline?
12:09
Dan Szymborski: I don’t suppose they’ll go CRAZY, however they might add some depth, particularly to rotation
12:09
Dan Szymborski: Like I may see them going after Eflin
12:10
Half Road: Do you suppose the Nats new GM (DeBartolo or a brand new rent) would possibly commerce Gore within the offseason? Ought to they>
12:10
Dan Szymborski: I believe no and no. Although it relies upon in the event that they suppose the present path of rebuilding is sustainable or they ahve to start out from sq. one
12:11
M’s Fan: Had Zips lowered its outlook on JRod? It looks as if he peaked early and has now settled into above common protection and working with common offense.
12:12
Dan Szymborski: It has – his five-year WAR is down like 12% from the place it was at the beginning of the season (for 2026-2030)
12:12
Melky Cabrera: Was Shane Smith the fitting all-star choose for the White Sox? Numerous love for Adrian Houser at present.
12:13
Dan Szymborski: I just like the Smith choose. When he’s one, he’s actually enjoyable, and he’s largely been strong this yr. Houser’s been good, however he’s kinda a identified amount and he solely had half the time
12:13
Beve Stalboni: …on second thought, possibly Sandy Alcantara will not be coming round.
12:13
Dan Szymborski: It’s very harmful for a author to jot down a few participant on the day they begin!
12:13
Dan Szymborski: I shoudl have written it for Tuesday not yesterday
12:13
drplantwrench: what do you/ZiPS consider mickey moniak’s resurgence in Colorado? hes been on hearth just lately however his dwelling/away splits are fairly disastrous
12:14
Dan Szymborski: We’re each meh.
12:14
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS does have him at 1.5 WAR in 425 PA subsequent yr, and having an averageish season is about as excessive as ZiPS has EVER been on him
12:14
A giant dumb fool: Which gamers have improved their ZiPS most within the first 3 months of the season?
12:15
Lance Biggerstaff: As an Orioles fan I’m going to be unhappy we are able to’t let Bryan Bake anymore, however a high 40 choose for a strong reliever (even one with group management) is just too good to go up proper?
12:15
Dan Szymborski: I did an article on that afew weeks in the past!
12:15
Dan Szymborski: Sure
12:15
Jerry Seinfeld voice: What’s the deeeal with Jackson Merrill?
12:15
Dan Szymborski: Liek Freeman, I believe only a down interval
12:15
kwabbit: After being minimize from the 2024 White Sox, Romy Gonzalez now has the best hard-hit% at 61%, amongst batters with 100 BBE. ZiPS is now projecting a wRC+ of 116 ROS, whereas Steamer has him at 96 ROS. Do you are taking the underneath or over on ZiPS?
12:16
Dan Szymborski: I believe underneath as a result of I’m a wager hedger!
12:16
Shandy Koufax: Is it time to crack every others heads and feast on the goo inside re Jacob Misiorowski? The management points don’t appear to have cropped up by zone% or OOZ Swing%, and the pitching fashions love his location (in comparison with his scouting report) with 101 Location + and 59 botCmd
12:16
Dan Szymborski: I’ve simply sufficient watching him!
12:18
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS retains warning me he’s not Skenes
12:18
Dan Szymborski: however I’m all I HAVE DOMINION OVER YOU, DIGITAL BEAST
12:18
Pkpkpkpk: I do know it’s solely been a bit of bit greater than a month. He’s a corridor of fame and the all star starter. It’s most likely advantageous. However what on the planet is up with Freddie Freeman?
12:18
Dan Szymborski: Like Merrill, I’m not likely frightened
12:19
MilwaukeeBeerJays: Good Morrow sir. Hey did you ever see the cartoon referred to as “The Raccoons” as a toddler? All of the characters had these bizarre downward Tetris L formed Fawcett noses and the intro theme ended with fireworks. Or am I an AI that’s hallucinating an individual who hallucinated an odd cartoon from their “childhood”. Baseball.
12:19
Dan Szymborski: I didn’t, I could have been *barely* too previous to have seen it within the US?
12:20
Dan Szymborski: By the point I used to be like 9, I didn’t actually watch many cartoons
12:21
Dan Szymborski: besides TMNT
12:21
Dan Szymborski: I largely noticed the same old standbys and the USA Cartoon Specific
12:21
Dan Szymborski: as a result of fo the latter, I’ve an encyclopedic data stage of Nineteen Seventies Hanna Barbera cartoons
12:22
Dan Szymborski: I may most likely narrate each episode of Jabberjaw
12:22
Dan Szymborski: or Wheelie and the Chopper Bunch
12:22
Dan: Are the Blue Jays for actual?
12:23
Dan Szymborski: I don’t factor being on a 90 win tempo is just too preposterous
12:23
Dan Szymborski: As I stated final yr concerning the Jays and the yr earlier than concerning the Yankees and the Mets, it’s silly to take a group’s worst efficiency as the brand new baseline
12:23
ransofast: if Texas tries to steal the area shuttle from the Smithsonian, ought to Mike DeWine hijack it within the Gulf and float it up the Mississippi and Ohio rivers to get it to Dayton the place it belongs?
12:23
Dan Szymborski: Appears like enjoyable
12:23
Dan Szymborski: I like capers
12:23
Dan Szymborski: each culinary and shenanigan-driven
12:26
Visitor: gamers by no means comply with a cap with no ground too (or…)? a group in freaking Chicago spending solely $77 mil appears insane
12:27
Dan Szymborski: The proposals aired had ridiculously low flooring.
12:28
Dan Szymborski: I *suppose* MLB must crush the gamers to get a cap; you’d want a misplaced season and gamers panicking I believe
12:29
Dan Szymborski: They don’t ask me and I’m not a member, so I’ve no say, however I’m of the place that baseball’s de facto smooth wage cap is of the identical substance as an express wage cap, so it is sensible to get one of the best place you possibly can
12:30
Phil: Right here’s a query I’ve been questioning about for some time: how do playoff odds work together with the potential for a group giving up and buying and selling its greatest gamers. It appears to create some bizarre math for groups with playoff odds beneath 50% round this time of yr, as a result of if the chances go down the group will intentionally worsen, so it looks as if it will be onerous to take care of low however regular odds via July. Does this have an effect on the accuracy of the listed odds, or is it already baked in? Or am I misunderstanding how math works?
12:30
Dan Szymborski: THey don’t actually
12:30
Dan Szymborski: I’ve tried to doing a generalized mannequin for chance a group trades their gamers, however the error bars are so giant that I deserted the concept
12:30
Kevin: I’ve learn a number of statements saying the Rockies are ten years behind in the case of analytics. I’m not asking this concerning the Rockies specifically, however what extra particularly would it not imply to be ten years behind in the case of analytics? What are the largest issues analytics permit groups to perform right this moment that couldn’t be achieved ten years in the past?
12:31
Dan Szymborski: I don’t suppose it’s extra the stuff they’re capable of do reasonably than what they perceive
12:31
Dan Szymborski: Behind right here means greater than they don’t have the sources that the majority groups have for analytics, both funding or dimension. And most critically, they don’t have the identical methods in place to combine analytics with broader resolution making
12:32
Dan Szymborski: I don’t know the present White Sox folks, however for a number of years, I acquired the impression their analytics division was Matt Koenig having to deal with like every part
12:32
Coolidge: Braves are in an actual robust spot. No depth, dangerous farm system, long run extensions to core gamers are beginning to backfire, not a lot payroll area. Is the long run for Atlanta staring to look a bit of worrying?
12:32
Dan Szymborski: Worrying in that it’s unsure. However the group nonetheless has a whole lot of property, in order that they have freedom of motion
12:32
Dan Szymborski: However they do have to deal with their shrot and long run targets this winter
12:32
Visitor: i can’t work out the best way to sit at a desk with a pc anymore with out one thing being distractingly uncomfortable. is it most likely me, my desk, or my chair
12:33
Dan Szymborski: Chair?
12:34
Dan Szymborski: I sit parallel to my laptop desk in a big recliner with an ottoman. my proper arm is on my desktop and my giant monitor at an angle in order that my head is often pointed about 20 levels to my proper. I’ve one other parallel desk to my left and one other desk behind me
12:34
Dan Szymborski: And I’m fairly snug
12:34
Dan Szymborski: I believe you’ll want to audition some chairs!
12:34
mmddyyyy: As new stadiums enter the combo, is the scale of the sector of play rising or lowering
12:34
Dan Szymborski: ususually lowering
12:34
mmddyyyy: When is a participant within the union?
12:35
Dan Szymborski: Since they added minors leaguers, principally at all times now!
12:35
Dan Szymborski: together with FA
12:35
Volpe: Does ZiPS nonetheless suppose Volpe goes to be a star. Will he enhance a lot within the subsequent yr or two?
12:36
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS thinks Volpe’s extra possible now to be a 2-3.5 WAR performer via his 20s
12:36
Dan Szymborski: Which suggests he’ll have *some* four-win seasons
12:36
Dan Szymborski: however his wRC+ projections are largely excessive 90s now
12:37
mmddyyyy: What number of subscriptions do you carry?
12:37
Dan Szymborski: I subscribe to a ton of stuff actually
12:37
Look At This Sotograph: Talking of cartoons, did you ever watch The Oblongs starring Will Ferrell? I favored it on the time. Additionally I hear that man’s a dickhead
12:39
Dan Szymborski: That is actually the primary time I’ve heard of this
12:39
Dan Szymborski: And once I seek for it, NOTHING rings a bell
12:39
Sal Bando: What’s the story with Onell Cruz? I do know he’s a wildly fluctuating hitter however that is getting dire.
12:39
Dan Szymborski: II suppose eh’s a risky hitter
12:40
MilwaukeeBeerJays: Talking of hallucinations, the Toronto Baseball Blue Jays are in first place due to *checks notes* Ernie Clement, Miles Straw, Addison Barger and 26 yr previous George Springer. That is REALITY although…..proper?
12:40
Dan Szymborski: Life is unusual
12:40
Visitor: would you reasonably have real-life umpires signaling balls and strikes as soon as it’s automated, or get inventive and have, like, a hologram tupac making the indicators?
12:40
Dan Szymborski: the latter
12:40
Dan Szymborski: for instance, animatronic raccoons
12:40
Idiotic Failson: “I don’t suppose they’ll go CRAZY” – you stated this concerning the Mets. Isn’t it true that that is most likely the default reply to simply about any group’s deadline plans? Further query – what group do you suppose goes to go probably the most ‘CRAZY’?
12:41
Dan Szymborski: I can see the Dodgers doing one thing loopy and off the wall
12:41
Idiotic Failson: How do I do know that we’re not chatting with a LLM pretending to be the precise Dan Szymborski?
12:41
Dan Szymborski: An LLM would unintentionally try to make extra sense
12:41
Walton Goggins: Who’s a favourite childhood participant of yours, and who’s somebody that you just discover similar to them present-day?
12:41
Dan Szymborski: Each submarine pitcher!
12:41
Dan Szymborski: or sidearmer
12:42
Dan Szymborski: I could have been the one child in Little League to have ever been impressed by Terry Leach
12:43
Dan Szymborski: It’s why I used to be an efficient pitcher as a child actually. I discover throwing sidearm way more snug than excessive or three quarters and I may get a bit of motion on pitches that I wouldn’t have gotten a lot on in any other case
12:44
Dan Szymborski: I didn’t throw onerous or have nice management or something. Simply having a bizarre pitching movement and a few pitches that act atypically was useful for me
12:44
Some kinda Mook: Dan, did you say a few weeks in the past that you just like musical theater? Any favourite exhibits?
12:45
Dan Szymborski: I’m a REAL sucker for Natasha, Pierre & the Nice Comet of 1812
12:45
Sal Bando: Who’re your favourite traditional and trendy conductors? As a Bruckner and Mahler fan I might suppose Bruno Walter can be up there.
12:45
Dan Szymborski: Ah, the factor about Walter is that he was at all times reliable and considerate however he would by no means be my quantity ONE selection in something
12:45
Dan Szymborski: Kinda like Alfred Brendel (RIP)
12:46
Dan Szymborski: My favourite Mahler recordings are the previous Bernstein NY recordings
12:47
Dan Szymborski: and the extra trendy Bertini cycle
12:48
Dan Szymborski: for Buckner, I actually just like the relative latest Tintner recordings and Jochum. Additionally have a tendency to love Karajan right here the place I largely discover him a bit too self indulgent
12:48
Dan Szymborski: I want Furtwangler had survived into the 60s/70s to file extra!
12:49
Dan Szymborski: At my age, I are likely to gravitate in direction of extra excessive interpretations on both aspect for works that I do know very well
12:49
Dan Szymborski: Like I’ve little or no curiosity in listening to a center of the street Beethoven fifth at this level
12:50
Is the Candlestick Maker Subsequent!: Ideas on the Baker to Tampa deal? Honest? Signal of an enormous sell-off looming?
12:50
Dan Szymborski: I prefer it, it’s truthful for a decentinary pitcher
12:50
Is the Candlestick Maker Subsequent!: Todd Frohwirth!
12:51
Dan Szymborski: Mark Eichhorn was a legend in 1986 and at eight, it was simply the fitting age for me to turn out to be an enormous fan
12:51
Dan Szymborski: I’m STILL excited the Orioles signed him
12:51
mmddyyyy: How scorching is just too scorching for baseball?
12:52
Dan Szymborski: 90! However I hate scorching climate
12:52
Dan Szymborski: I like being in a press field on a scorching day
12:52
Syndergaardengnomes: We’re doing portdanteaus? About time this person identify paid off…
12:52
Don: Hey Dan, have you learnt a approach that wouldn’t require hours of labor to search out QS by SP for the yr, together with W/L/ND and probably even run help by begin? I’m attempting to gauge “fortunate” and “unfortunate” SP with these things. Thanks!!
12:52
Dan Szymborski: I believe you are able to do that on stathead fairly shortly
12:52
Dan Szymborski: Time me
12:56
Dan Szymborski: crap, it’s not taking my password, i have to reset
12:56
Coolidge: Nothings extra excessive than Celebidache’s Bruckner.
12:56
Dan Szymborski: Yeah, however I’ve to do stuff and I don’t have two hours
12:57
Phil: Have you learnt Michael Gielen’s Mahler recordings? I discover them actually fascinating as a particular interpretation.
12:57
Dan Szymborski: I don’t suppose I’ve heard all of them. I keep in mind liking a 3rd from him and never a lot a fourth
12:57
Dan Szymborski: I do like my Mahler kinda neurotic
12:57
bndj88: Who has one of the best crab desserts in Baltimore, and why is it Faidley’s?
12:57
Dan Szymborski: one of the best crab cake in Baltimore is one you make in your kitchen and utilizing Barbara Mikulski’s previous recipe
12:58
Dan Szymborski: Bah, I can’t get the totals
12:58
Dan Szymborski: I thoguth I may
12:58
Dan Szymborski: yeah
12:59
Dan Szymborski: although I put I combine in a tiny little bit of horseradish once I combine in mustard
12:59
Dan Szymborski: and BROIL the crabcakes
1:00
Dan Szymborski: If crabcakes will be pan-fried with out falling aside, you have got an excessive amount of filler
1:00
Don: recognize you trying…stathead well worth the worth of admission?
1:00
Dan Szymborski: Sure
1:00
Leo: What do you see the Padres realistically doing earlier than the deadline?
1:00
Dan Szymborski: I believe they’ll be particularly low key given they most likely have probably the most monetary constraints of any contender with a excessive payroll
1:00
Oaktown Blues: Do you suppose a commerce structured round Tyler Soderstrom for Chase Dollander could possibly be mutually helpful? I assume Rockies must add a sweetener or two?
1:01
Insert Witty Identify Right here: What precisely makes a Beethoven fifth “center of the street”?
1:01
Dan Szymborski: reasonable tempos, reasonable dynamics, no actual interpretive stance, and many others
1:01
Sal Bando: I do just like the NY Bernstein Mahler—and his Beethoven fifth from that period—however his Vienna recordings of Mahler are largely atrocious IMO. For Furtwangler the Beethoven ninth from 1942 is my favourite. Regal stuff.
1:01
Dan Szymborski: Yeah, I largely like 50s/60s Bernstein
1:02
Dan Szymborski: The unhappy factor about Furtwangler recordings is that most of the greatest ones have fairly terrible sound
1:03
Dan Szymborski: If I had a time machine and went again in time to kill Hitler, I’d most likely uncover that’s one thing that’s simpler stated then accomplished, and would most likely simply go take heed to live shows or one thing
1:03
Dan Szymborski: However then once more, my German is nowhere close to ok to go for a local
1:04
Insert Witty Identify Right here: Watching Wimbledon now, would you reasonably have baseball institute a rule that the group needs to be fairly earlier than every pitch, or permit tennis followers to make noise throughout the entire match?
1:04
Dan Szymborski: I like noise associated stress
1:04
Dan Szymborski: Chess matches needs to be rowdier too
1:04
Dan Szymborski: AWWW BOOHOO CANT REMEMBER MAIN LINE OF NAJDORF SICILIAN WHILE DOUCHEBAG STEVE POURS A BEER OVER YOUR HEAD HUH?
1:05
Insert Witty Identify Right here: Furtwangler needs to be a 9 yr previous boy’s superhero identify.
1:05
Don: you can off nazis in your free time between exhibits
1:05
Dan Szymborski: The factor is, I’ve by no means really killed anybody
1:06
Dan Szymborski: And if I needed to kill somebody, I’m unsure abroad 40 years earlier than I used to be born is one of the best time to get observe
1:06
Sal Bando: Did you ever see Manhunt? It’s a traditional Fritz Lang film a few sportsman who traces up Hitler as a goal however doesn’t pull the set off.
1:06
Dan Szymborski: I haven’t!
1:06
Visitor: they by no means let me pitch in child rec league. my normal job was to drop the fly ball then throw the man out attempting for 2nd
1:07
Dan Szymborski: My little league profession was bizarre. I *was* on our awful journey group! I pitched and performed second base. I sucked at catching flies, however I’m extraordinarily aggressive and charged at each grounder, irrespective of how onerous hit. I used to get bloody noses a pair occasions a yr from a ball bouncing into my face
1:07
David: Would it not make any sense – even a scintilla – for a group that wants an extra left-handed bat within the lineup to strive enjoying a left-handed mashing hitter at 2nd, third, or quick if all the opposite positions are already taken up by good gamers? Or is there no approach a lefty may play these positions?
1:08
Dan Szymborski: I believe the issue is the lefties gained’t have any sensible expertise on the positions
1:08
Dan Szymborski: I’d like somebody to do this as a take a look at factor although
1:09
mmddyyyy: Are there any lively gamers that venture positively into their 40s?
1:09
Dan Szymborski: Aaron Decide has a 0.9 WAR projection at age 41!
1:10
Dan Szymborski: Carlos Santana has a 0.8 for subsequent yr
1:10
Visitor: how a lot 2026 hope do you and/or ZiPS have for Matt Shaw now
1:10
Dan Szymborski: Nonetheless some.
1:10
mmddyyyy: Have you ever ever been there when a file was damaged?
1:10
Dan Szymborski: I don’t consider so
1:11
Dan Szymborski: I used to be there for the primary recreation of the O’s 21 recreation dropping streak to start out 1988 although!
1:12
Dan Szymborski: I used to be ALSO on the WWE Uncooked in Baltimore the place they first confirmed the video of Massive Boss Man stealing the casket of the Massive Present’s lifeless dad at his funeral! lol
1:13
bndj88: I used to be at 2,130. And I’ve gone 30 years claiming that recreation was the true record-breaking recreation. Cal moved into first on 2,130; Gehrig moved into second on 2,131!
1:13
data!: You simply have to outline “file” narrowly sufficient — you had been there the primary time a Dan Szyborsk had a pulse on 7/10/2025 at 1:10 pm EDT!
1:13
Visitor: what was Carlos Santana’s 2026 projection when he was Aaron Decide’s age
i assume lower than 0
1:13
drplantwrench: how a lot do you suppose the angels ought to promote? how a lot do you suppose they are going to?
1:14
Dan Szymborski: I believe the Angels have to tear all of it down. They gained’t do any of it, I don’t suppose
1:14
Dan Szymborski: On that notice, it’s time for me to move out for an additional week!
1:14
Dan Szymborski: Thansk for coming all
Dan Szymborski is a senior author for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a author for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a daily visitor on a variety of radio exhibits and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He additionally maintains a horrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
