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Dodgers Look to Maintain Will Smith’s Distinctive Manufacturing



Eric Hartline-Imagn Photos

In Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Bettsand Freddie Freemanthe Dodgers don’t lack for superstars with potent bats, however to this point this season, Will Smith is swinging — and, notably, not swinging — nearly in addition to any of them. The 2-time All-Star catcher is off to an exceptionally sizzling begin, notably with runners in scoring place, and the Dodgers just lately shook up their roster with an eye fixed in direction of serving to him preserve a excessive stage of manufacturing later into the season.

The 30-year-old Smith is hitting .333/.456/.511, adequate to steer the NL in on-base proportion and to rank third in wRC+ (175) behind solely Freeman (191) and Ohtani (182). Typically batting forward of both Max Muncy or Michael Consolation — each of whom have struggled to date this yr — he’s been pitched round to a point, and he’s proven distinctive plate self-discipline:

Will Smith Plate Self-discipline

Season
O-Swing%
Z-Swing%
Swing%
F-Strike%
SwStr%
BB%
SEAGER pct

2021
20.6%
61.3%
41.9%
57.7%
8.3%
11.6%
82

2022
20.4%
62.4%
42.6%
59.7%
7.2%
9.7%
89

2023
23.9%
67.0%
45.7%
58.7%
7.8%
11.4%
92

2024
26.5%
64.4%
46.2%
60.3%
8.4%
9.4%
68

2025
17.5%
53.6%
37.1%
55.0%
6.2%
18.1%
97

Each Smith’s chase charge and stroll charge rank second within the NL; the previous is 4.6 proportion factors beneath his profession mark, whereas the latter is seven factors above. In response to Robert Orr’s SEAGER metric — a measure of how nicely a batter identifies and swings on the pitches towards which he can do actual harm — Smith ranks within the 97th percentile this yr, nicely above even his earlier sturdy showings. As Baseball Prospectus 2025 summarized, “Smith’s superpower is that this: working the depend till he’s forward, then fastidiously choosing errors or get-me-over pitches to drive into the outfield.”

What is perhaps essentially the most exceptional side of Smith’s efficiency so far is how nicely he’s hit with runners in scoring place, which he’s had no scarcity of given the large weapons batting forward of him:

High Hitters With Runners in Scoring Place

Minimal 40 plate appearances with runners in scoring place.

Holy smokes! It’s wild to have a look at the higher reaches of that leaderboard and see the huge variations in strikeout and stroll charges, from Hernández’s refusal to take a free cross to Kelly’s skill to keep away from swinging and lacking. However I digress. Amongst batters with no less than 40 plate appearances with runners in scoring place this season, Smith’s batting common ranks first, his on-base proportion second behind solely Decide, his wRC+ fourth, and his slugging proportion sixth. This isn’t precisely a fluke, as Smith owns a profession .304/.404/.495 (140 wRC+) mark in 829 PA with runners in scoring place since debuting in 2019. That wRC+ is 12 factors higher than his general mark — the league as an entire is often about 5 factors forward — and the place he’s walked 11.1% of the time and struck out 18.5% general throughout his profession, these marks enhance to 13.9% and 15.9% with runners in scoring place.

I ought to level out that whereas that 12-point wRC+ hole is spectacular, it’s nowhere close to the excessive for this era. Amongst batters with 400 or extra PA with runners in scoring place because the begin of 2019, Jonah residence has the biggest hole, 40 factors (126 with RISP, 86 general). Amongst these with an general wRC+ of 100 or increased throughout that span, the biggest hole belongs to Garrett Cooper34 factors (141 with RISP, 107 general), and amongst these with an general wRC+ of 120 or increased throughout that span, it’s Smith’s teammate Hernández with the biggest hole, 26 factors (150 with RISP, 124 general).

Requested earlier than Saturday’s recreation at Citi Subject about what has made Smith and Hernández so profitable with runners in scoring place, supervisor Dave Roberts hit some old-school notes along with his reply:

“I feel that at the moment, guys simply don’t worth driving in a run and don’t know learn how to get a base hit, and I feel these two guys are superb at it… I feel there’s an inevitable regression with these (batting common with runners in scoring place) numbers, however I nonetheless really feel that the intent, the main focus, in these conditions will proceed.”

Past his distinctive plate self-discipline, Smith is swinging more durable and making higher contact. His common swing velocity of 69.5 mph is 1.6 mph quicker than final yr, although it nonetheless ranks in simply the sixteenth percentile, however his squared-up and blast charges have each improved (from 27.1% to 29.6% for the previous and from 8.7% to 12.9% for the latter). He’s gained 2.3 mph in exit velocity (from 89.4 mph to 91.7 mph), and each his 13.9% barrel charge and 48.1% hard-hit charge are profession bests. These final three figures all rank within the 77th to 84th percentiles.

As for cooling off usually, Smith isn’t any stranger to torrid begins and late fades, which most likely owe one thing to the cumulative put on and tear he sustains over the course of the season, if not larger accidents (he had a concussion in 2023, and a deep bone bruise in his left ankle final yr). Right here’s a have a look at what he’s carried out by means of the Dodgers’ first 54 video games of the season in every of the previous 5 campaigns:

Will Smith By way of Dodgers’ First 54 Video games, 2021–25

Season
G
PA
HR
BA
OBP
SLG
wRC+
WAR

2025
43
171
5
.333
.456
.511
175
2.3

2023
36
159
7
.313
.415
.531
156
1.9

2024
46
197
6
.297
.365
.477
132
1.5

2021
43
168
5
.271
.375
.457
124
1.4

2022
42
167
6
.227
.341
.390
111
0.9

Contemplating that Smith posted a 121 wRC+ general from 2021–24, you will get a way of the extent to which his offense tailed off over the ultimate two-thirds of these seasons. Whereas he was on tempo to provide 17.1 WAR in these campaigns, even the 15.5 WAR he really produced was nonetheless sufficient to nostril previous J.T. Realmuto for the main league lead amongst catchers.

Taking a look at it from the vantage of first half/second half, from 2021–2024, Smith hit .269/.365/.478 (132 wRC+) whereas averaging 74 video games previous to the All-Star break (oddly, it wasn’t till 2023 that he made an All-Star crew). In these second halves, he tailed off to a still-respectable .241/.327/.429 (107 wRC+) whereas averaging 56 video games, however by October, his bat was out of gasoline, as he hit .211/.295/.414 (91 wRC+) within the postseason. Final yr, whereas catching a career-high 117 video games, he dipped from a 130 wRC+ within the first half to 78 within the second after which 62 throughout the Dodgers’ October championship run, although he did homer in every postseason spherical.

Conscious of the extent to which they’ve leaned on Smith, whose 3971.1 innings caught from 2021–24 was 459 greater than any catcher moreover Realmuto, the Dodgers have swapped out his backups. On Might 14, the crew designated Austin Barnes for project and known as up catching prospect Dalton Dashing from Triple-A Oklahoma Metropolis. The 35-year-old Barnes, whom the Dodgers acquired from the Marlins in the identical December 2014 blockbuster that despatched Dee Unusual-Gordon to Miami and introduced Enrique Hernández to Los Angeles, debuted in 2015 and spent ’17–18 backing up Yasmani Grandal. Barnes went on to assist the Dodgers win 4 pennants and two World Collection; his one-out single within the sixth inning of Recreation 6 of the 2020 World Collection — which Los Angeles trailed 1-0 on the time — turned the lineup over, spelling the tip of Blake Snell’s evening and sparking the go-ahead rally that despatched the Dodgers to their first championship in 32 years.

However for as adept as he was at dealing with the pitching workers, Barnes was hardly ever a very good hitter (43 wRC+ this yr, 85 profession). With the 24-year-old Dashing hitting .308/.424/.514 (144 wRC+) with 5 homers in 31 video games at Oklahoma Metropolis, the Dodgers determined it was time to try the highest place participant of their system. A 60-FV prospect (and like Smith, a Louisville alum), Dashing positioned eight on our preseason High 100 Prospects listing due to his plus-plus arm, above-average energy, and common hit software, with Eric Longenhagen summarizing, “Dashing has developed into a very good defensive catcher and well-rounded offensive risk. He could pressure the Dodgers to discover a solution to roster each him and Will Smith on the identical time.”

That’s precisely what occurred, and it was a transfer the Dodgers — who final week launched each Barnes and one other longtime member of their core, Chris Taylor — didn’t take frivolously. “This was definitely a tricky dialog. Austin is a Dodger for all times. He helped us win the championship, caught the final pitch in 2020 within the World Collection, and he’s carried out numerous nice issues locally for the Dodgers, for myself personally,” stated Roberts of the transfer on the time. “I simply assume that for us proper now, with what Dalton Dashing is doing on the efficiency facet, it’s a possibility to problem him, develop his progress, give him a possibility to log some main league video games and basically give him some runway.”

The plan is for Dashing to catch two video games every week, function a pinch-hitter off the bench, and construct relationships with the Dodgers’ pitchers, a few of whom — together with Clayton Kershaw and Tony Gonolin — he caught throughout rehab assignments at Oklahoma Metropolis. The Dodgers are hoping that his improvement permits him to not solely carve out a spot for himself however to assist protect Smith.

On Saturday at Citi Subject, Roberts gushed about Dashing. “I see a baseball rat, a man that wishes to study, a man that respects what guys have carried out, (respects) the sport. He feels that he’s going to be a celebrity. I really like him within the field, he’s very assured, he controls the hitting zone. He’s going to be a very good one for a very long time.”

Dashing isn’t there but. On Saturday, he went 0-for-3, with two strikeouts and an RBI on a three-foot chopper that seemed as if it might need caught his personal foot however introduced residence Tommy Edman. Since his call-up, Dashing is 4-for-16 with a double however eight strikeouts in 17 plate appearances.

Dashing’s apprenticeship could possibly be a prolonged one. Smith is signed by means of 2033 through a 10-year, $140-million extension that has only a $12.4 million AAV due to deferrals. With the DH spot blocked by Ohtani (although it would liberate as soon as in awhile after he returns to the mound, doubtless not till after the All-Star break) and first base by Freeman, the simple avenues for Smith to seek out time at different positions are blocked. A shortstop in highschool, he did play 58 video games at third base within the minors and was thought-about an above-average defender there by Baseball America as late as 2018 (when he performed 43 video games at third and caught 49 video games), however he took so nicely to catching that he left the recent nook behind. Dashing is the extra doubtless candidate to make cameos at different positions, as he’s performed 38 video games at first base and 33 in left area — Taylor’s major outfield spot, ahem — since being drafted within the second spherical in 2022.

Whereas this yr has been an exception to date, thanks partially to Smith, Kelly, and the Mariners’ Cal Raleighoffense from the catching spot is mostly in quick provide. With Dashing becoming a member of Smith and hopefully giving him just a few additional days off, the Dodgers hope they’ve discovered one more benefit. By the appears of the NL West standings, the place they lead each the Padres and Giants by simply two video games, they might nicely want it.



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